obama. 47% say they would vote for mitt romney. those numbers have not moved since early last month. they are in a statistical tie there when you account for the margin of error. in the swing states, the president's lead grows to 11 points among likely voters. 52% to 41%. in ohio, a new poll shows the president leading 51% to 42%. a nine-point spread. in august, the same poll had the two candidates tied at 45%. in iowa, paul ryan will be campaigning today. the des moines register has the president leading 49% to 45%, just 2% there are undecided. those numbers raising the stakes for the romney campaign ahead of wednesday's debate. right now expectations are with the president. 55% of likely voters expect him to win the debate. in preparation for the match-up, the president is hunkered down with his aides in nevada, romney spent the weekend practicing in boston. both sides looking to play the role of underdog in the debate, downplaying expectations and talking up the opponent, but not chris christie who spoke yesterday on "meet the p